Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.561508 1.939239 2.432787 3.146276 4.190564 5.734297 8.347429
2025-02-09 1.063333 1.457603 2.057354 3.108441 5.095816 9.248663 21.085618
2025-02-16 0.803462 1.166693 1.772746 2.979366 5.738969 13.551918 54.671819
2025-02-23 0.674493 1.025448 1.657190 3.063359 6.924965 22.346837 255.801172
2025-03-02 0.593964 0.938381 1.600071 3.229719 8.598661 41.052017 14427.903607
2025-03-09 0.522304 0.847925 1.503658 3.247243 9.921009 71.414710 NaN
2025-03-16 0.456240 0.753703 1.371353 3.100498 10.471172 108.697499 NaN
2025-03-23 0.422445 0.715024 1.349370 3.263887 12.921468 287.845181 NaN
2025-03-30 0.387590 0.667687 1.294595 3.298143 14.907592 856.591460 NaN
2025-04-06 0.352707 0.614738 1.213851 3.205419 15.975091 2749.286606 NaN
2025-04-13 0.324308 0.571453 1.148006 3.138498 17.279056 26487.483010 NaN
2025-04-20 0.313814 0.564951 1.174669 3.449068 23.739307 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.299680 0.548980 1.174467 3.667246 31.313779 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.280127 0.518268 1.127148 3.650388 35.858718 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.259333 0.482310 1.058160 3.495287 37.196962 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.247297 0.465384 1.041577 3.601858 46.773170 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.238539 0.455088 1.042688 3.811375 64.829135 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.226778 0.436176 1.013523 3.833546 78.486994 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.212369 0.409411 0.955175 3.648865 79.086974 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.206098 0.402061 0.957781 3.854565 115.870811 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.197626 0.388342 0.937095 3.897818 148.315136 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.187487 0.369522 0.896459 3.780843 160.122476 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.178645 0.353311 0.862440 3.696619 178.587591 NaN NaN